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Federal vs 2-State

Federal vs 2-State

The ongoing conflict over the future of Cyprus, marked by deep divisions between those who support federalism and those pushing for a two-state solution, goes far beyond mere political disagreement.


It strikes at the core of the Turkish Cypriot community's struggle for identity, recognition, and survival. This issue deeply affects our historical, societal, and emotional well-being, impacting not only those on the island but also the diaspora in key global hubs like the UK and Australia.


The call for a two-state solution has strong roots in the historical grievances that have shaped the Turkish Cypriot collective memory. Recollections of past conflicts, ethnic violence, and perceived betrayals by Greek Cypriots during earlier attempts at enosis highlight a narrative of survival and resistance. Understanding this history is key to recognizing why many Turkish Cypriots are vehemently opposed to a federal solution, fearing it could lead to a repeat of past injustices where they were marginalized or worse.


The Turkish Cypriot diaspora, particularly prominent in the UK and Australia, plays a crucial role in the Cyprus issue. Despite their distance from the island, these communities are closely linked to its political fate and have the potential to influence international opinion and policy through active advocacy and lobbying.


However, the reality on the ground being Turkish Cypriots in key locations like the UK are deeply split into two main groups. On one hand is a vocal group clinging to the hope of a unified federal Cyprus which generally opposes the presence of the Turkish military and the influence of Türkiye in the island's daily affairs. Identifying mainly as 'Cypriot' rather than 'Turkish,' they advocate for a bi-zonal, bi-communal federal solution, free from what they perceive as interference by Türkiye or Greece, aspiring to a future as Cypriot Europeans.


As idealist as they may appear, federalists are generally vilified by the majority of Turkish Cypriots who see them as betraying the memory of Turkish and Turkish Cypriots who gave their lives for the freedoms the TRNC enjoys today. The Federalists will largely hold allegiance to the leading opposition CTP party in TRNC opposing notions of an independent recognised state.


The opposing group, largely holding allegiance to the ruling UBP party, vigorously supports the recognition and independence of the TRNC through a two-state solution. They strongly believe in the necessity of a permanent Turkish military presence in the TRNC ensuring their national security. 


This group vividly remembers the history of ethnic violence by Greek Cypriots, led by figures like Archbishop Makarios and Colonel Grivas. These individuals aimed to eliminate the presence of Turkish Cypriots from the island through various violent means, including attempts at removing Turkish Cypriots politically forcibly from government, followed by ethnic cleansing, genocide, and military coups aimed at unifying Cyprus with Greece, a conflict that spanned from 1963 to 1974. This dark period culminated in the Türkiye's intervention, which many credit with saving the Turkish Cypriot community from complete destruction—a memory that rightly remains deeply ingrained and unforgotten.



However, efforts often meet strong opposition from the well organized and vocal Greek Cypriot diaspora, which equally appears increasingly divided. 


On one hand, the current Greek Cypriot administration advocating for a unified bi-zonal bi-federal Cyprus, which if achieved, some argue will mean the dismantling of the TRNC apparatus and removal of the unique Turkish Cypriot independent identity, whereas conversely a growing number of ultra nationalist pro enosis political parties such as Elam appear to vie for reclaiming what they perceive as the ‘occupied areas’ and reuniting the entire Island with Greece by any means necessary.


On April 24, 2004, during a referendum known as the 'Annan Plan'—named after then UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan who proposed the plan—a federal solution for Cyprus was put to vote. The vast majority of Turkish Cypriots supported the proposal, whereas the vast majority of Greek Cypriots rejected the idea.


This global contest between federalists and pro-independence groups extends the Cyprus conflict beyond its geographical limits, making it a worldwide issue where diaspora groups active in both the UK and Australia vie for influence and public support. Tensions can be known to run high with fierce allegiance on each camp towards their respective cause, each competing within their communities to justify their position and strengthen their political alliances.


It is essential to engage the youth within these diaspora communities, as they hold the key to long-term support for the Turkish Cypriot cause. Initiatives that educate them about their heritage and the ongoing political issues, and emphasize the importance of their active participation, are crucial. Programs that nurture a strong connection to their homeland can empower these young people to champion their community's rights and aspirations on a global stage.


Unity within the Turkish Cypriot community is paramount. By rallying around the idea of a two-state solution, they can present a united and powerful front that emphasizes their unique identity and sovereign aspirations. This unity is vital for maintaining internal cohesion and for effectively communicating their position to the global community.


 Crafting a strong, unified message that resonates internationally can help counter the prevailing pro-federalism views that dominate much of the international dialogue about Cyprus's future.


To effectively advocate for their cause, Turkish Cypriots must engage strategically with the international community. This includes grassroots lobbying and participation in international forums, as well as forming alliances with nations and organizations that may be sympathetic to their cause. 


By presenting clear and well-argued positions and leveraging their strategic geopolitical location, Turkish Cypriots can work towards gaining the recognition and support needed for a lasting solution to the Cyprus conflict.


The pursuit of a two-state solution in Cyprus represents more than just a political choice; it is a fundamental fight for identity, recognition, and self-determination for Turkish Cypriots. This effort requires a concerted action from the entire community, both at home and abroad, to mobilize support, engage the younger generation, and navigate the complex international political landscape. 


By uniting their efforts and presenting a cohesive argument globally, Turkish Cypriots can hope to shape their future, ensuring that their voices are heard, respected, and acted upon in resolving one of the longest-standing conflicts in modern European history. 


With persistent advocacy and strategic engagement, the vision of a recognized, sovereign Turkish Cypriot state could eventually be realized, opening a new chapter in Cyprus's history.